Air Passenger Forecasts

air passenger forecasts

Reviewing the International Recovery

by Ian|04 September 202404 September 2024| US Border Crossings, Duty Free Americas, GoogleTrends, Toutiao, Baidu,

Uploaded to client sites today, a scan of the top 100 international countries indicates that 39 of them will fail to push their full year 2024 passeng.....

June Internationals up just 1% on 2019

by Jane Robinson|13 August 202413 August 2024| US Border Crossings, Duty Free Americas, GoogleTrends, Toutiao, Baidu,

Today Air4casts examines the June slowdown in the rate of international air passenger growth. The results come directly from the 1300 plus .....

Air Travel Demand Becoming more Price Elastic

by Emma Wiseman|05 August 202405 August 2024| US Border Crossings, Duty Free Americas, GoogleTrends, Toutiao, Baidu,

The latest forecast updates based on June actuals have, today, been uploaded to subscriber web sites. The 2024 forecast by region is higher.....

July Forecast Update: an Asia/Pacific Recovery?

by Ian Robinson|05 July 202405 July 2024| US Border Crossings, Duty Free Americas, GoogleTrends, Toutiao, Baidu,

In the latest forecast update now available to subscribers there will necessarily be the same subscriber focus on events and developments in the Asia/.....

Kicking Forecasters is Fun

by Ian Robinson|10 June 202410 June 2024| US Border Crossings, Duty Free Americas, GoogleTrends, Toutiao, Baidu,

And especially so when they dare to be specific about recoveries. First over the top at the end of last year was ACI [Airports Council In.....

USA Market Visitor Profile: Is the Indian Visitor Hype Just That?

by Ian Robinson|29 May 202429 May 2024| US Border Crossings, Duty Free Americas, GoogleTrends, Toutiao, Baidu,

Air4casts’ second half tourism outlook for the USA focuses on visitors from the Asia/Pacific region. It is certainly the case that tourists f.....

Hong Kong: Heading in the Wrong Direction

by Ian Robinson|23 May 202423 May 2024| US Border Crossings, Duty Free Americas, GoogleTrends, Toutiao, Baidu,

In November last year HKG hit the 75% recovery mark; it had been growing steadily if not hugely since a modest turning point in August. But since the .....

May Forecast Update

by Ian Robinson|13 May 202413 May 2024| US Border Crossings, Duty Free Americas, GoogleTrends, Toutiao, Baidu,

Two features are important in this most recent forecast update which has been uploaded for clients today. The 2019 Recovery Benchmark .....

Forecast Update: March 2024

by Ian Robinson|08 March 202408 March 2024| US Border Crossings, Duty Free Americas, GoogleTrends, Toutiao, Baidu,

The latest forecasts have today been uploaded to client sites. The Chinese appetite for domestic travel over the Lunar New Year holiday has hit a n.....

A Tale of Two Cities

by Jane Robinson|08 February 202408 February 2024| US Border Crossings, Duty Free Americas, GoogleTrends, Toutiao, Baidu,

A Tale of Two Cities... ...and two major international airports which back in 2019 found themselves at opposite ends of the world’s top 20. .....

Forecast Update: December 2023

by Ian Robinson|12 December 202312 December 2023| US Border Crossings, Duty Free Americas, GoogleTrends, Toutiao, Baidu,

The December forecast revision contains some elements of note relating, for the most part, to the immediate outlook for international passengers which.....

The September Forecast Predictions

by Ian Robinson|06 September 202306 September 2023| US Border Crossings, Duty Free Americas, GoogleTrends, Toutiao, Baidu,

There remain two areas of uncertainty in the forecast revisions which have been uploaded today. What is Happening in China The rate of.....

One Week, Two Press Releases, A Single Theme

by Ian Robinson|12 April 202312 April 2023| US Border Crossings, Duty Free Americas, GoogleTrends, Toutiao, Baidu,

The first from ACI in raises doubts about the strength of the recovery in Asia/Pacific pointing to high ticket rises as an impediment to growth. The s.....

Forecast Update March 2023

by Sarah Robinson|09 March 202309 March 2023| US Border Crossings, Duty Free Americas, GoogleTrends, Toutiao, Baidu,

This month’s forecast revision indicates an acceleration in the rates of recovery when compared with the outlook produced a month ago. .....

Forecast Update February 2023

by Ian Robinson|07 February 202307 February 2023| US Border Crossings, Duty Free Americas, GoogleTrends, Toutiao, Baidu,

Today’s update, and looking primarily at the full year 2024, is hardly different from the projections developed a month ago and when those proje.....

2023 China Passenger Forecast

by Ian Robinson|16 January 202316 January 2023| US Border Crossings, Duty Free Americas, GoogleTrends, Toutiao, Baidu,

The first of the monthly updated 2023 forecast sets has today been uploaded to client sites. CHINA FOCUS Necessarily a focus of interest.....

Two October Setbacks for Travel Retail

by Ian Robinson|07 November 202207 November 2022| US Border Crossings, Duty Free Americas, GoogleTrends, Toutiao, Baidu,

The last lingering hope that the Communist Party of China might, in the foreseeable future, move towards a more liberal travel policy for its citizens.....

Forecast Update September 2022

by Ian Robinson|08 September 202208 September 2022| US Border Crossings, Duty Free Americas, GoogleTrends, Toutiao, Baidu,

The latest September forecast updates have now been uploaded to client sites. Forecast to forecast there are changes, subtle for some airports and in .....

Forecast Update August 2022

by Sarah Robinson|04 August 202204 August 2022| US Border Crossings, Duty Free Americas, GoogleTrends, Toutiao, Baidu,

The latest monthly forecasts have today been uploaded to client sites. Europe and North America This Year and Next The rate of recover.....

July Forecast Review

by Ian Robinson|06 July 202206 July 2022| US Border Crossings, Duty Free Americas, GoogleTrends, Toutiao, Baidu,

This forecast, for both 2022 and 2023, is below the projection generated a month ago. Of itself this is of importance but perhaps of more importance i.....

June Forecast Update

by Ian Robinson|06 June 202206 June 2022| US Border Crossings, Duty Free Americas, GoogleTrends, Toutiao, Baidu,

Subscriber interest this month is likely to be focused on airports in the Western Hemisphere since there is an inevitable acceptance among subscribers.....

May Forecast Update: Data and Expectations

by Jane Robinson|06 May 202206 May 2022| US Border Crossings, Duty Free Americas, GoogleTrends, Toutiao, Baidu,

With the March actuals from 1150 airports now available, a clear view of April will be available by the middle of this month although complete results.....

Forecast Update April 2022

by Ian Robinson|05 April 202205 April 2022| US Border Crossings, Duty Free Americas, GoogleTrends, Toutiao, Baidu,

Today’s upload of the latest forecast updates is, in global terms, little different from the view taken just a month ago. There are differences.....

Forecast Update March 2022

by Sarah Robinson|07 March 202207 March 2022| US Border Crossings, Duty Free Americas, GoogleTrends, Toutiao, Baidu,

The latest monthly forecasts for almost 1600 global airports and 200 travelling nationalities have today been uploaded to client sites. Notwithstan.....

Forecast Update February 2022

by Sarah Robinson|09 February 202209 February 2022| US Border Crossings, Duty Free Americas, GoogleTrends, Toutiao, Baidu,

The latest forecast revisions have been uploaded to subscribers’ websites. The initial fears which were Omicron have receded th.....

Forecast Update; International Focus January 2022

by Sarah Robinson|18 January 202218 January 2022| US Border Crossings, Duty Free Americas, GoogleTrends, Toutiao, Baidu,

A goodly proportion of subscribers have, of late and quite understandably, been pre-occupied by the possible downside effects of the Omicron variant. .....

A Week is a Long Time in the Travel Business

by Ian Robinson|03 December 202103 December 2021| US Border Crossings, Duty Free Americas, GoogleTrends, Toutiao, Baidu,

There is a tiny body of executives within the the subscriber community which is exercised by changes to the forecasts. Perhaps missing the point that .....

Forecast Update October 2021

by Ian Robinson|07 October 202107 October 2021| US Border Crossings, Duty Free Americas, GoogleTrends, Toutiao, Baidu,

The Major Change: Europe The European recovery is now well under way and the changes in this forecast set, compared with that developed just a mont.....

Domestic Passenger Forecast; June Update

by Ian Robinson|10 June 202110 June 2021| US Border Crossings, Duty Free Americas, GoogleTrends, Toutiao, Baidu,

Air4casts examines the top terminals in June for both international and domestic passenger departures. Throughout the pandemic there have b.....

May Forecast Update

by Ian Robinson|04 May 202104 May 2021| US Border Crossings, Duty Free Americas, GoogleTrends, Toutiao, Baidu,

The latest May forecasts for 1500 airports have today been uploaded to client sites. Today's Air4casts bulletin examines the outlook by region.....

March Forecast Update

by Charlotte Cooper|06 March 202106 March 2021| US Border Crossings, Duty Free Americas, GoogleTrends, Toutiao, Baidu,

The revised passenger forecasts, uploaded to subscribers’ websites today, represent no more than a modest change on the outlook develo.....

Forecast Update February

by Ian Robinson|08 February 202108 February 2021| US Border Crossings, Duty Free Americas, GoogleTrends, Toutiao, Baidu,

That there continues to be substantial pent-up demand for international travel has, from the evidence, never been in doubt. Europ.....

Air Travel Trends in 2021

by Jane Robinson|08 December 202008 December 2020| US Border Crossings, Duty Free Americas, GoogleTrends, Toutiao, Baidu,

The answers to just two simple questions will say it all: ✓ how strong will any recovery be next year and ✓ under what condition.....

November Departures Give Grounds for Optimism, Europe Apart

by Charlotte Cooper|12 November 202012 November 2020| US Border Crossings, Duty Free Americas, GoogleTrends, Toutiao, Baidu,

International departures for the first two weeks of this month do confirm that, in five out of the six regions of the world, a recovery is under w.....

Coronavirus Impacts Airport Rankings

by Emma Robinson|28 February 202028 February 2020| US Border Crossings, Duty Free Americas, GoogleTrends, Toutiao, Baidu,

The Air4casts Coronavirus module updates the 2020 monthly forecasts by airport and nationality every day to take into account each new hard piece of d.....